Financial statement analysis for investors
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Financial Statement Analysis for Investors

Financial statement analysis for investors: Unlocking the secrets hidden within a company’s financial reports is crucial for making sound investment decisions. This deep dive explores the art of deciphering balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements, transforming complex numbers into actionable insights. We’ll equip you with the tools to assess a company’s profitability, liquidity, and overall financial health, allowing you to navigate the investment landscape with confidence and a healthy dose of skepticism (because let’s face it, even numbers can lie sometimes!).

From understanding fundamental ratios to mastering the nuances of trend analysis and common-size statements, we’ll unravel the mysteries behind financial reporting. We’ll even address the limitations of this analysis, ensuring you’re prepared for the unexpected twists and turns of the financial world. Get ready to become a financial statement ninja!

Introduction to Financial Statement Analysis for Investment Decisions

Financial statement analysis, in the investment world, is essentially a sophisticated form of corporate detective work. It’s the process of scrutinizing a company’s financial statements – its report card, if you will – to assess its financial health, performance, and potential for future growth. Think of it as a financial X-ray, revealing the inner workings of a business and helping investors make informed decisions, hopefully avoiding costly mistakes (and embarrassment).

Understanding a company’s financial statements is paramount for any investor, regardless of experience level. It’s the bedrock upon which sound investment strategies are built. Without this understanding, investors are essentially gambling, relying on luck rather than informed judgment. Analyzing these statements allows investors to evaluate a company’s profitability, liquidity, solvency, and overall financial strength, providing a clearer picture than even the most captivating marketing pitch.

Types of Financial Statements Used in Investment Analysis

Three key financial statements form the core of any thorough analysis: the balance sheet, the income statement, and the cash flow statement. Each provides a unique perspective on a company’s financial situation, offering a more complete picture when viewed together. Think of them as the Holy Trinity of financial information, each offering a different but equally important perspective.

Comparison of Key Financial Statements

The following table compares and contrasts these three vital financial statements, highlighting their key elements and uses for investors. Understanding their differences is crucial for a well-rounded analysis, akin to understanding the difference between a map, a compass, and a GPS – each valuable in its own way.

Statement Key Elements Primary Use for Investors Snapshot in Time?
Balance Sheet Assets, Liabilities, Equity; shows what a company owns and owes at a specific point in time. Assess liquidity (ability to pay short-term debts), solvency (ability to pay long-term debts), and financial structure. Think of it as a company’s snapshot photo. Yes
Income Statement Revenues, Expenses, Net Income; shows a company’s financial performance over a period of time. Evaluate profitability, revenue growth, and expense management. Think of it as a company’s movie trailer, highlighting key events. No, it covers a period (e.g., quarter, year).
Cash Flow Statement Operating, Investing, and Financing activities; shows the movement of cash both into and out of a company over a period. Assess a company’s cash generating ability, its ability to meet its obligations, and its investment and financing activities. Think of it as the behind-the-scenes look at how the movie was made (the trailer was the income statement). No, it covers a period (e.g., quarter, year).

Ratio Analysis Techniques

Financial statement analysis for investors

Unraveling the mysteries of a company’s financial health isn’t about staring blankly at balance sheets until your eyes cross (though that’s a valid approach for some). It’s about wielding the powerful tool of ratio analysis – a sophisticated form of financial detective work that reveals hidden truths about profitability, liquidity, and overall financial fitness. Think of it as a financial MRI, but way more fun (we promise).

Ratio analysis involves calculating various ratios from a company’s financial statements to gain insights into its performance. These ratios provide a standardized way to compare a company’s performance over time or against its competitors. It’s less about memorizing formulas and more about understanding what those numbers are actually *telling* you.

Profitability Ratios

Profitability ratios are the lifeblood of any investment decision. They show how efficiently a company is generating profits from its operations. A high profitability ratio is generally a good sign, indicating strong earnings power. However, context is key; a seemingly stellar ratio might hide underlying issues.

  • Gross Profit Margin: This measures the profitability of sales after deducting the cost of goods sold. It’s calculated as (Revenue – Cost of Goods Sold) / Revenue. A higher gross profit margin suggests efficient production and pricing strategies. For example, a company with a 60% gross profit margin is doing significantly better than one with a 20% margin, assuming all else is equal.
  • Net Profit Margin: This represents the percentage of revenue that translates into net profit after all expenses are deducted. Calculated as Net Profit / Revenue, it paints a complete picture of profitability after all the bills are paid. A consistently high net profit margin suggests strong overall financial health.
  • Return on Equity (ROE): This measures how effectively a company is using shareholder investments to generate profit. Calculated as Net Profit / Shareholder Equity, a higher ROE generally indicates a more efficient use of capital. For example, a company with a ROE of 20% is significantly outperforming one with a ROE of 5%.

Liquidity Ratios

Liquidity ratios assess a company’s ability to meet its short-term obligations. Think of it as their ability to pay their bills on time – a crucial aspect of financial stability. Low liquidity can signal potential trouble ahead.

  • Current Ratio: This ratio compares current assets to current liabilities, providing a snapshot of a company’s ability to pay off its short-term debts. Calculated as Current Assets / Current Liabilities, a ratio above 1 generally indicates sufficient liquidity. A current ratio of 2 suggests a company has twice the assets to cover its liabilities.
  • Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio): A more stringent measure than the current ratio, the quick ratio excludes inventory from current assets, as inventory may not be easily converted to cash. It’s calculated as (Current Assets – Inventory) / Current Liabilities. A quick ratio above 1 is generally a positive sign.

Solvency Ratios

Solvency ratios delve into a company’s long-term financial stability – its ability to meet its long-term obligations and avoid bankruptcy. These ratios provide a long-term perspective on the company’s financial health.

  • Debt-to-Equity Ratio: This ratio measures the proportion of a company’s financing that comes from debt versus equity. Calculated as Total Debt / Shareholder Equity, a higher ratio indicates a greater reliance on debt financing, which can increase financial risk. A high debt-to-equity ratio might indicate aggressive expansion strategies, but it also carries higher risk.
  • Times Interest Earned Ratio: This ratio shows a company’s ability to meet its interest payments on debt. Calculated as Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) / Interest Expense, a higher ratio suggests a greater capacity to service debt obligations. A ratio of 2 or higher is generally considered healthy.

Efficiency Ratios

Efficiency ratios assess how well a company manages its assets and resources to generate sales and profits. They provide insights into operational efficiency and cost control.

  • Inventory Turnover Ratio: This measures how efficiently a company manages its inventory. Calculated as Cost of Goods Sold / Average Inventory, a higher ratio suggests efficient inventory management. A low ratio might signal slow-moving inventory or overstocking.
  • Asset Turnover Ratio: This ratio measures how effectively a company uses its assets to generate sales. Calculated as Revenue / Average Total Assets, a higher ratio indicates better asset utilization.

Analyzing the Income Statement

Financial statement analysis for investors

The income statement, often called the profit and loss (P&L) statement, is a financial snapshot revealing a company’s profitability over a specific period. Think of it as a meticulously detailed diary of a company’s revenue generation and expense management – a financial tell-all, if you will. For investors, it’s the key to unlocking a company’s financial health and future prospects. Understanding its components is crucial for making informed investment decisions. Ignoring it is like navigating a ship without a map – you might arrive somewhere, but it’s unlikely to be your intended destination.

Key Components of the Income Statement and Their Significance for Investors

The income statement presents a clear picture of a company’s financial performance. It’s structured to show how revenue transforms into net income (or loss) after accounting for all expenses. Let’s delve into the crucial components:

Revenue

Revenue represents the total income generated from the company’s primary operations during a specific period. It’s the top line of the income statement and the foundation upon which all subsequent calculations are built. A consistent increase in revenue, coupled with efficient cost management, generally signals a healthy and growing company. Conversely, a decline in revenue can be a red flag, indicating potential problems with the company’s products, marketing, or overall market position. Analyzing revenue growth rates over several years provides a clear picture of the company’s performance trajectory. For example, a company consistently exceeding its revenue projections year-over-year demonstrates strong market demand and effective management.

Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)

COGS represents the direct costs associated with producing the goods or services sold by a company. This includes raw materials, direct labor, and manufacturing overhead. A high COGS relative to revenue indicates lower profitability, suggesting the company may need to improve its production efficiency or pricing strategy. For instance, a company with consistently high COGS might explore strategies like sourcing cheaper materials or automating parts of its production process. Analyzing the trend in COGS helps investors understand the efficiency of the company’s operations and its ability to manage costs.

Operating Expenses

Operating expenses are costs incurred in running the business, excluding COGS. These include selling, general, and administrative expenses (SG&A), research and development (R&D), and marketing expenses. Analyzing these expenses helps investors assess a company’s operational efficiency and its ability to control costs. For example, a consistently high ratio of operating expenses to revenue could indicate inefficiencies or excessive spending in certain areas. A detailed breakdown of operating expenses allows investors to identify potential areas for improvement.

Gross Profit and Operating Profit

Gross profit is calculated by subtracting COGS from revenue, providing a measure of profitability before considering operating expenses. Operating profit (or earnings before interest and taxes, EBIT) is calculated by subtracting operating expenses from gross profit. It shows the company’s profitability from its core operations. A consistently increasing operating profit indicates strong operational performance and efficient management of resources.

Impact of Different Accounting Methods on the Income Statement

Different accounting methods can significantly impact the reported figures on the income statement. For instance, the choice between FIFO (First-In, First-Out) and LIFO (Last-In, First-Out) inventory costing methods can affect COGS and gross profit, especially during periods of inflation. Similarly, depreciation methods can impact reported expenses and profits over time. Investors need to be aware of the accounting methods used by a company to ensure a fair comparison between companies and to understand the true picture of the company’s financial performance. Consistency in accounting methods over time is also crucial for accurate trend analysis.

Analyzing the Profitability of a Company Using the Income Statement: A Step-by-Step Guide

Analyzing a company’s profitability involves a systematic approach. Here’s a step-by-step guide:

  1. Review Revenue Trends: Examine revenue growth over several years to identify consistent growth or decline. Look for significant changes and try to understand the underlying reasons.
  2. Analyze COGS and Gross Profit Margin: Calculate the gross profit margin (Gross Profit / Revenue) to assess the efficiency of the company’s production or service delivery. A declining gross profit margin might signal rising input costs or increased competition.
  3. Examine Operating Expenses and Operating Profit Margin: Calculate the operating profit margin (Operating Profit / Revenue) to assess the company’s operational efficiency. A declining operating margin might indicate rising operating costs or falling prices.
  4. Assess Net Income and Net Profit Margin: Calculate the net profit margin (Net Income / Revenue) to assess the company’s overall profitability after all expenses are considered. This provides a comprehensive measure of the company’s ability to generate profit.
  5. Compare to Industry Benchmarks: Compare the company’s profitability ratios to industry averages to assess its relative performance. This provides context and allows for a better understanding of the company’s position within its industry.

Analyzing the Balance Sheet

Financial statement analysis for investors

The balance sheet, unlike the income statement’s dramatic flair, is the quiet, steady hand of financial analysis. It’s a snapshot of a company’s assets, liabilities, and equity at a specific point in time – think of it as a financial selfie. While less exciting than the income statement’s tale of profits and losses, understanding the balance sheet is crucial for discerning a company’s true financial health and stability. Ignoring it is like judging a book by its cover – you might miss the truly interesting parts (or the alarmingly damp pages).

Key balance sheet items provide a wealth of information about a company’s financial position. Assets represent what a company owns (cash, inventory, equipment), liabilities represent what it owes (loans, accounts payable), and equity represents the owners’ stake in the company (retained earnings, common stock). Analyzing the relationships between these components allows investors to assess a company’s solvency, liquidity, and overall financial strength. For example, a high level of debt relative to equity might signal a risky investment, while a large cash balance could indicate financial stability.

Working Capital and its Implications for Investors, Financial statement analysis for investors

Working capital, calculated as current assets minus current liabilities, is a vital indicator of a company’s short-term financial health. It represents the funds available to meet immediate operational needs. A healthy working capital balance suggests the company can easily pay its short-term debts and continue operations smoothly. Conversely, a low or negative working capital balance could indicate potential liquidity problems and financial distress. Imagine a bakery with insufficient flour – they can’t bake, and the business suffers. Similarly, insufficient working capital can cripple a company’s operations. Investors should monitor changes in working capital over time to assess a company’s operational efficiency and financial stability. A consistently declining working capital balance should raise a red flag.

Analyzing a Company’s Liquidity Position

Liquidity refers to a company’s ability to meet its short-term obligations. The balance sheet provides several key ratios to assess liquidity. The current ratio (current assets / current liabilities) is a widely used measure. A current ratio of 2.0, for instance, suggests that a company has twice the current assets as current liabilities, indicating a strong liquidity position. Another common ratio is the quick ratio ( (current assets – inventory) / current liabilities), which provides a more conservative measure of liquidity by excluding inventory, which may not be easily converted to cash. A company with a consistently low current ratio or quick ratio might struggle to meet its short-term obligations, signaling potential financial instability. For example, a struggling retailer might see its current ratio decline as it struggles to sell inventory, leading to a buildup of unsold goods and increased pressure on its liquidity.

Interpreting Changes in Assets, Liabilities, and Equity Over Time

Analyzing trends in assets, liabilities, and equity over several periods (e.g., comparing balance sheets from different years) offers valuable insights into a company’s financial performance and strategies. For instance, a consistent increase in accounts receivable could suggest problems with collections, while a significant increase in long-term debt might indicate aggressive expansion strategies (which might be good or bad depending on other factors). Conversely, a decrease in property, plant, and equipment could signal a company is divesting assets or scaling back operations. Analyzing these changes in context with other financial statements and industry benchmarks allows investors to make informed decisions. For example, a company consistently increasing its fixed assets might be investing in growth, but this should be considered alongside its profitability and cash flow to determine if this investment is sustainable.

Analyzing the Cash Flow Statement

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The cash flow statement, often dubbed the “truth serum” of financial statements, reveals the cold, hard cash reality behind a company’s operations. Unlike the accrual-based income statement and balance sheet, the cash flow statement focuses on the actual movement of cash – where it came from and where it went. Understanding this statement is crucial for investors seeking a clear picture of a company’s liquidity and financial health, beyond the often-rosy picture painted by profits. Ignoring it is like judging a restaurant’s success solely on its menu – you’re missing the crucial ingredient: the actual food served and the money it generates.

The cash flow statement is divided into three main sections, each telling a different part of the cash story. Think of it as a three-act play, with each act revealing a crucial aspect of the company’s financial performance.

Cash Flow from Operating Activities

This section details the cash generated or used by the company’s core business operations. It’s the bread and butter of the cash flow statement, showing the cash inflow from sales and outflows from expenses like salaries, rent, and cost of goods sold. A healthy positive cash flow from operations indicates a strong, sustainable business model capable of generating cash from its day-to-day activities. For example, a company with consistently high sales but poor inventory management might show high revenues on the income statement but low operating cash flow due to excessive inventory tying up cash. Analyzing this section involves carefully examining adjustments made to net income to arrive at cash flow from operations – things like depreciation and changes in working capital.

Cash Flow from Investing Activities

This section tracks cash flows related to a company’s investments in long-term assets. This includes purchases and sales of property, plant, and equipment (PP&E), investments in other companies, and acquisitions. A company investing heavily in new equipment might show negative cash flow from investing activities, but this could be a positive sign if the investments are expected to generate future cash flows. Conversely, significant disposals of assets could boost cash flow in this section but might signal a lack of future growth opportunities. Analyzing this section provides insights into a company’s growth strategy and capital allocation decisions. For instance, a tech company consistently investing in R&D might show negative cash flow from investing activities in the short term, but this could be a strategic move for long-term growth.

Cash Flow from Financing Activities

This final act focuses on how the company raises and uses capital. It includes cash flows from issuing debt, issuing equity, repurchasing shares, paying dividends, and repaying debt. A company issuing new debt will show positive cash flow from financing activities, while repaying debt or paying dividends will show negative cash flow. Analyzing this section helps assess a company’s capital structure, its reliance on debt, and its ability to manage its financial obligations. For example, a company consistently relying on debt financing might be a riskier investment than one that relies more on equity financing.

Free Cash Flow: The King of Cash

Free cash flow (FCF) is the cash a company generates after covering its operating expenses and capital expenditures (CAPEX). It’s the cash available to distribute to shareholders (through dividends or share buybacks), repay debt, or invest in new projects. The formula for FCF is often expressed as:

Operating Cash Flow – Capital Expenditures

. A high and growing FCF is a strong indicator of a company’s financial health and its ability to create value for shareholders. A company with consistently high FCF has more financial flexibility to weather economic downturns, make acquisitions, or return value to shareholders.

Analyzing Cash Flow Trends and Identifying Potential Risks or Opportunities

Analyzing cash flow trends over several periods (e.g., three to five years) provides a clearer picture of a company’s financial health and stability than looking at a single year’s statement. Consistent positive cash flow from operations is a good sign, while declining cash flow might indicate underlying problems. Significant fluctuations in cash flow from investing activities might signal aggressive expansion or asset sales. Similarly, trends in financing activities can reveal a company’s reliance on debt or its ability to manage its capital structure. By comparing a company’s cash flow trends to its industry peers, investors can identify potential risks or opportunities.

Visual Representation of Cash Flow Statement Sections

Imagine a three-tiered pyramid. The base, painted a vibrant green, represents Cash Flow from Operating Activities, indicating the foundation of cash generation from core business operations. The middle section, a sunny yellow, represents Cash Flow from Investing Activities, showing the allocation of cash for growth and long-term investments. Finally, the top, a cool blue, represents Cash Flow from Financing Activities, illustrating how the company manages its capital structure through debt and equity. Arrows connect the sections, showing how cash flows between them. For instance, a positive green base feeds into the yellow middle section for investments, and the blue top can either add to or subtract from the other sections depending on whether the company is raising or using funds. The overall height of the pyramid represents the net increase or decrease in cash during the period. A tall, stable pyramid suggests strong cash flow management.

Common-Size Financial Statements and Trend Analysis

Let’s face it, staring at a mountain of raw financial numbers is about as exciting as watching paint dry. But fear not, intrepid investor! Common-size statements and trend analysis are here to rescue you from the numerical doldrums and reveal the juicy secrets hidden within a company’s financial reports. These techniques transform raw data into easily digestible insights, allowing you to compare companies of different sizes and track a company’s performance over time – think of it as financial statement detective work, but with less trench coats and more spreadsheets.

Common-size financial statements express each line item as a percentage of a base figure. This allows for easy comparison of companies of different sizes and even industries, because size is no longer a factor clouding the analysis. Think of it as a financial makeover; instead of absolute numbers, you’re looking at proportions, which reveals much more about the underlying financial health. This standardization process dramatically simplifies the comparison of companies, making it easier to spot trends and potential red flags.

Creating Common-Size Financial Statements

To create common-size balance sheets, each asset, liability, and equity account is expressed as a percentage of total assets. For example, if a company has $100 million in total assets and $20 million in cash, the cash percentage would be 20% (20 million/100 million). Similarly, for common-size income statements, each line item is expressed as a percentage of net sales (revenue). If a company has $100 million in net sales and $10 million in cost of goods sold, the cost of goods sold percentage would be 10% (10 million/100 million). This percentage-based approach allows for direct comparison across different reporting periods and between companies regardless of their scale. It’s like comparing apples to oranges – but now the apples and oranges are both expressed as a percentage of their respective fruit baskets.

Trend Analysis: Spotting the Patterns

Trend analysis involves comparing a company’s financial performance over multiple periods. This longitudinal view allows you to identify significant changes in key ratios and financial metrics, revealing whether a company’s performance is improving, deteriorating, or remaining relatively stable. For instance, a consistently declining gross profit margin might signal increasing competition or rising input costs. Conversely, a steadily increasing return on equity (ROE) suggests that the company is effectively utilizing its shareholder investment. This isn’t just about looking at the numbers; it’s about understanding the *story* the numbers are telling.

Using Common-Size Statements and Trend Analysis to Identify Key Trends

Let’s say we’re analyzing Company A and Company B. Both companies are in the same industry, but Company A is significantly larger. By using common-size statements, we can compare their operating margins directly, regardless of their size differences. If Company A’s operating margin is consistently higher than Company B’s over several years (as shown in a trend analysis), it might suggest that Company A is more efficient or has a stronger competitive advantage. Furthermore, a downward trend in Company B’s inventory turnover ratio, as revealed by trend analysis, could indicate problems with inventory management or potentially declining sales. These insights, gleaned from a combination of common-size statements and trend analysis, are invaluable in making informed investment decisions. It’s like having a financial crystal ball, but instead of predicting the future, you’re illuminating the past to better understand the present.

Limitations of Financial Statement Analysis: Financial Statement Analysis For Investors

Financial statement analysis, while a powerful tool for investors, isn’t a crystal ball. It provides a valuable snapshot of a company’s financial health, but relying solely on these numbers can be akin to judging a book by its cover – sometimes spectacularly inaccurate. This section explores the inherent limitations and potential pitfalls of relying exclusively on quantitative analysis. Remember, even the most meticulously crafted financial statements can be misleading if not interpreted within a broader context.

The limitations stem from several sources, intertwining to create a complex picture that requires careful consideration. Ignoring these limitations can lead to investment decisions based on incomplete or even distorted information, resulting in significant financial losses. We will examine these limitations, emphasizing the importance of qualitative factors and the influence of accounting practices.

Accounting Standards and Estimations Influence Financial Statement Analysis

Accounting standards, while designed to provide consistency, still allow for a degree of flexibility in how companies report their financial performance. Different accounting methods can significantly impact reported earnings and asset values. For instance, the choice between FIFO (First-In, First-Out) and LIFO (Last-In, First-Out) inventory costing methods can drastically affect a company’s reported cost of goods sold and net income, particularly during periods of inflation. Similarly, estimations, such as the useful life of an asset for depreciation purposes, are inherently subjective and can lead to variations in reported financial figures. Consider a tech company rapidly innovating: estimating the useful life of its cutting-edge equipment is tricky, and an overly optimistic estimate could mask potential obsolescence risks. These discrepancies, though technically compliant with accounting standards, can paint a misleading picture of the company’s true financial standing.

Qualitative Factors and Their Impact on Investment Decisions

While numbers tell a story, they don’t tell the whole story. Qualitative factors, such as management quality, competitive landscape, industry trends, and regulatory changes, are crucial elements often missing from a purely quantitative analysis. A company might boast impressive financial figures on paper, yet be plagued by poor management, leading to operational inefficiencies or ethical lapses. Similarly, a rapidly changing industry could render even the most profitable company obsolete, regardless of its seemingly healthy financial statements. Ignoring these qualitative aspects can lead to overlooking significant risks and missing opportunities. For example, a company with strong financial statements might be facing a disruptive technological shift rendering its core business model obsolete. This crucial qualitative factor is not reflected in the financial statements.

Examples of Misleading or Insufficient Financial Statement Analysis

Let’s consider a scenario where a company aggressively pursues revenue growth through aggressive accounting practices. This might involve recognizing revenue prematurely or understating expenses. While the financial statements might appear exceptionally strong, the underlying reality could be quite different. The company’s actual profitability might be significantly lower, and its long-term sustainability jeopardized. Another example: a company with consistently high profits might be masking declining market share through aggressive cost-cutting measures. While the financial statements might appear healthy, the underlying business model could be unsustainable in the long run. In both instances, a reliance on financial statements alone would provide a distorted and incomplete picture. A thorough analysis requires delving beyond the numbers and considering the broader business context.

Last Word

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Mastering financial statement analysis empowers investors to make informed, data-driven decisions. While the process might seem daunting at first, armed with the right knowledge and techniques, you can confidently assess a company’s financial health and identify promising investment opportunities. Remember, though, that financial statements are just one piece of the puzzle; always consider qualitative factors and seek diverse perspectives before committing your hard-earned capital. Happy investing!

Questions and Answers

What if a company uses different accounting methods? How does that impact analysis?

Different accounting methods (e.g., FIFO vs. LIFO) can significantly impact reported financial figures. Consistent comparison requires understanding the methods used and potentially adjusting figures for standardization. This highlights the importance of analyzing trends over time rather than relying solely on a single year’s data.

How do I account for inflation when analyzing historical financial statements?

Inflation erodes the purchasing power of money. For long-term analysis, consider adjusting historical figures for inflation using a price index to get a clearer picture of real growth and profitability. This provides a more accurate comparison across different time periods.

What are some red flags to watch out for in financial statements?

Red flags include consistently declining cash flow, high debt levels relative to equity, increasing days sales outstanding (DSO), and significant discrepancies between reported earnings and cash flow. These warrant further investigation.

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